Andrei Lankov: Prospects ye-Hereditary Succession kwi-monaco

kodwa thina andazi njani na inkunkuma

Soloko entertaining xa kubonelelwa yakhe insightful uhlalutyoUnjingalwazi Andrei Lankov wathetha kwi - 'Prospects ye-Hereditary Succession kwi-monaco' at veki zintathu ka-NKnet ke isithethi uphawu kwi-i-seoul. I-thetha wathabatha indawo ngoaprili. kodwa Unjingalwazi Lankov ke uhlalutyo lomgaqo-monaco ihlala kakhulu afanelekileyo namhlanje. Uluhlu imixholo kunye amakhonkco iyafumaneka ngezantsi Ukufunda isishwankathelo olu ifayile ku: regime ngu rational. ngokubanzi predictable. hayi kakhulu Stalinist.

siyazi into yokuba izinto ngokwenza - eyona Machiavellians namhlanje elicebo ukuphumeza iinjongo zomgaqo iinkokeli - ayisasebenzi unification okanye uphuhliso loqoqosho.

kodwa kufa yendalo lokufa kwabantu kowabo beds (hayi kwi-exile) kwi i-old age bona. mhlawumbi waphumelela Umthetho omnye - Akukho reforms (ukutsho oko. Isitshayina-isimbo. kwimakethi uqoqosho)- ubukho be-South Korea ithetha nayiphi na umzamo e reforms izakuba highly unstable. ngoba izakuba ukukhuthaza Emntla Koreans ukuba thelekisa ngokwabo ukuba Umzantsi Koreans ngaphandle komhlaba. monaco andinaku ukuvelisa ngokwaneleyo ukutya ukondla yayo bonke. kodwa kunye nukes (okanye inikezela ukuba siphantsi phantsi zabo development) unako blackmail China. kwaye NATHI ukunika ngayo ukutya Umthetho ezintathu - ukubulala bakreqi - zero uphazamiso kuba na ezopolitiko dissent - kodwa ngoku izohlwayo kuba.

kodwa zombini ngcono kunokuba ngoku

engumda crossing ingaba kakhulu ngaphantsi - kwiminyaka eyadlulayo kwaye amalungu osapho ukuba abakho imprisoned kaninzi kangangoko phambi - kodwa izohlwayo ingaba? harsh. ulwalamano ka-amabanjwa ezopolitiko ingu iyafana Stalin ke USSR - ngxi ayikwazi ukwenza nawuphi na amaqela. iimbumbano kuphumeza yi-government nkqu nokuba akukho komhlaba. eli lizwe itshintshile elikhulu yaba ukusuka phantsi Ukhim Il Sung (iyonke unikezelo uqoqosho) Ukhim Jong Il (kwimakethi kuqoqosho - abantu abaninzi benza inkoliso yabo abahlala ngaphandle urhulumente uqoqosho) fencing thelekisa kuba amandla phakathi kukarhulumente kunye kwimakethi imikhosi. okwangoku komhlaba. ban kwi abafazi younger than amahlanu orhwebo ulwazi kufumaneka kwi-ngokungafaniyo tunable radios. i-DVD abadlali ngo isemthethweni - ezininzi ndakubona Afrika isikorean dramas propaganda ngoku akuthethi ukuba ndithi i-South Korea ngu amahlwempu kwi-sebenzisa ixesha elide. imeko ayikho oluzinzileyo kwaye nazo zenza kusenokwenzeka ukuba abe violent - kwa ukuba banako ukuphucula kuqoqosho. ukuphucuka iya kuba kakhulu nihamba - kwisizukulwana isithuba thina ngokulula andazi xa nazo ziya kwenzeka evela ngaphandle singakwazi ukubona indlela ingaba inkunkuma. ngoko ke akuyi kuba mbalwa isilumkiso imiqondiso ezimbini kunokwenzeka iziphumo zokugqibela: a pro-Isitshayina ngesathelayithi regime okanye reunification (esebenzisa unobumba wokuqala wesigrike) ne-South Korea ndivuma enkulu.