Kwaye akukho sizathu kuba nkxalabo
Phantsi threat a kunokwenzeka wesine Emntla isikorean yenyukliya uvavanyo, kufuneka i-South Korea ukuphuhlisa eyakhe yenyukliya isixhoboYenyukliya tensions ingaba kwakhona ratcheting phezulu ngomhla isikorean Peninsula, kunye Pyongyang threatening a wesine yenyukliya zesintu uvavanyo na omnye USA analyst njengoko kuchaziwe layo elitsha"isifuba se-asma esibangelwa jikeleziso"routine military exercises yi-South Korea ne-United States scheduled ukuqala ngomhla we- agasti.
A wesine yenyukliya uvavanyo ayikwazi ngakumbi impembelelo le ngxoxo-mpikiswano kwi-i-seoul kwaye comment ingxwaba phezu nokuba Umzantsi Korea kufuneka iqwalasele"yenyukliya khetho."Enjalo isigqibo - ukuba Umzantsi Korea ayeza seriously cinga - ayikwazi upturn i unyaka Afrika isikorean-USA alliance, yehlabathi nonproliferation iinzame, hayi umzekelo-icatshulwe dozens ngamazwe izibophelelo ukuba tie omnye Asia ke wealthiest izizwe ukuba uqoqosho lwehlabathi.
Nkqu thetha"ndihamba yenyukliya"ingaba abanye Emzantsi Korea kwezopolitiko iklasi worrying ngaphandle nelikhwazayo ukuba le ngxoxo-mpikiswano sele bafudukela ukususela ezopolitiko fringe ukuba occupy umbindi kwethuba.
Emntla ke wesithathu yenyukliya uvavanyo ngofebruwari shifted-wonke imbono Emzantsi Korea phezu nokuba kufuneka ziqale eyakhe yenyukliya zesintu lwenkqubo. Ngoseptemba, kwi-Chosun Ilbo umhlathi, conservative commentator kwaye ezopolitiko analyst Ukhim Dae-jung argued ukuba kumele. Kuyinto sentiment echoed ngokuthi u-thirds uluntu surveyed yi-Asan Institute ye-Nkqubo Uhlalutyo enye inyanga. Conservative politician Chung Mong-joon kwaye yangaphambili lawmaker Ingoma Elula-sun, ngokunjalo columnists ezifana Cho Gab-je, Ukhim Dae-jung kwaye Yi Chun-geun, kuba ixesha elide ngokuba kuba i-South Korea ukuba ukuphendula kwi-uhlobo ukuya Emntla isikorean yenyukliya **** nge -"South Korea ibhombu ye."Bathe allies kwi-i-american ezopolitiko izangqa. Elbridge Colby, ekubhaleni kuba conservative iinqwelo-nkqubo yembali, Wesizwe Inzala, ezicetywayo ngofebruwari ukuba USA ubeke"geopolitics phezu nonproliferation"ukuba Japan ne-South Korea khetha ukuphuhlisa yenyukliya zesintu.
Kwaye kulo nyaka uphelileyo, i-USA Indlu Armed Iinkonzo Ikomiti lanyanzelisa ukuba Obama yolawulo luhlole"feasibility"ka-re-deploying enzima yenyukliya zesintu kwi isikorean Peninsula.
Konke oku thetha sele pushed omnye yangaphambili yabalawuli Afrika isikorean iinqwelo-nkqubo advisor ukuba qwalasela ubunzima ngokwee kwi umbuzo we-re-deployment ka-USA enzima yenyukliya zesintu kwi isikorean Peninsula kwaye uphuhliso Afrika isikorean ibhombu ye. Yonsei Ngezifundo unjingalwazi Nenyanga Chung-inikwe umntu owayelilungu yabalawuli iinqwelo-nkqubo advisor kumzantsi Afrika isikorean ii-arhente zikarhulumente ezifana Yesizwe Security Council of i-Ofisi Kamongameli, Kubulungiseleli ka-Langaphandle Imicimbi yoburhulumente norhwebo, Kubulungiseleli Wesizwe nkqo ekukhuseleni ilungelo, kwaye Kubulungiseleli ka-Unification. Ugq Nenyanga kwizifundo i- kwaye North-South isikorean summits njengoko okhethekileyo umthunywa. Waye kanjalo wonyulwa njengoko ilungu ke umongameli-abanyulwa Roh Moo-hyun ke high-inqanaba kwigqiza labathunywa kwi-USA ngowama. Waye kanjalo-sihlalo we ye-ofisi kamongameli Ikomiti kwi umntla mpuma Asian Intsebenziswano Phulo, ikhabhinethi-inqanaba ngeposi. Inyanga, ihamba kunye Ugq Upetros Hayes we-Nautilus Institute, penned i-kwapapashwa inqaku eli ngenyanga yi-Mpuma Asia Foundation ngu-Nkqubo Debates No, ephendula umbuzo:"Kufuneka i-South Korea Uye Yenyukliya."Fil Iglauer yathetha kunye Nenyanga kutshanje. Emzantsi Afrika isikorean urhulumente wenziwe cacisa ukuba ingaba akukho sicwangciso ukuphuhlisa a yenyukliya zesintu lwenkqubo.
Isizathu sokuba kutheni Upetros kwaye ndabhala lo ithayile, bethu abemi - ngamanye amaxesha, ngamanye amaxesha asixhenxe ipesenti kubo - kuqhubekeka ukuxhasa yenyukliya zesintu unye.
Thina wayecinga ukuba wenze into kwenza imfundo. Ukuba kokuba indlu efanelekileyo non-proliferation imfundo, ngoko abasayi kwenzeka ukuba uhlobo inciphe. Thina wayecinga ukuba sidinga ukuba enze enye ukuba unako uxelele abantu ukuba ekubeni yenyukliya zesintu kubaluleke ngakumbi ezinobungozi kwe-hayi ekubeni kwabo. Esinye isizathu sibhale eli nqaku kukuba kukho wenziwe widespread speculation ukuba monaco ayikwazi kuqhuba enye yenyukliya uvavanyo kwaye, ukuba oko kwenzeka, okokuba ayikwazi phinda-phinda opinions abaxhasayo ka-siphuhlisa a yenyukliya zesintu inkqubo okanye re-deployment ka-USA enzima yenyukliya zesintu. Ngo ekubeni olu uhlobo inqaku sinako bonisa Afrika isikorean abantu ukuba nkqu ukuba kwenzeka ntoni akuvumelekanga wise kuthi ukumsukela zethu kunye yenyukliya khetho. Ngoko ke, kwindlela yakho, uvavanyo, yintoni drawbacks Womzantsi Korea kodwa eyakhe yenyukliya zesintu lwenkqubo ne omnye sele kwaphuhliswa yi-monaco. Kude reinforcing South Korea ke sele ama-conventional military izakhono - kuquka kwi-phantse wonke umlinganiso apho monaco siqulunqe offsetting"asymmetric"izakhono - Afrika isikorean yenyukliya zesintu ingaba undermine deterrence ngokusekelwe conventional imikhosi, kwaye nkqu inciphise South Korea ke nako ukusebenzisa yayo conventional imikhosi ekuphenduleni a Emntla isikorean attack. Dibanisa, akukho USA-mikhosi yokulwa yamanifayithi Oyintloko ngu ke ubeke i-american imikhosi kwi-kwenzakala ke indlela kwi isikorean impixano, ukuba Umzantsi Korea wields yenyukliya zesintu ngaphandle USA kwezopolitiko kwaye military umyalelo control. Elizimeleyo Lomzantsi isikorean yenyukliya zesintu ingaba complicate kuba U. Umyalelo kwaye Zidibene Imikhosi Umyalelo.
Ukongeza, i-South Korea ke quest kuba yenyukliya zesintu ayikwazi instantly phinda-phinda a yenyukliya domino ukusebenza kulo mmandla.
Ukuba kuyenzeka, akukho ndlela ukunqanda Japan ukusuka ndihamba yenyukliya.
Into malunga re-deployment ka-USA enzima yenyukliya zesintu Emzantsi Korea. Ayikwazi enjalo USA zesintu kuba viable okungokunye emzantsi Afrika isikorean lwenkqubo. Akuyomfuneko ngenxa USA eyandisiweyo deterrence yayo, emva yenyukliya umbrella.
USA sele yenyukliya submarines baya kuba ixesha elide-umqolo bombers baya kuba intercontinental ballistic missiles kwi-USA mainland.
Banako ukusebenzisa kwabo ngokulula. Akukho sizathu USA ukuba deploy enzima yenyukliya apha zesintu kwi peninsula. Gen. Uyohane) Cushman kanye pointed ngaphandle ngowe, basenokuba a headache kuba i-american imikhosi apha. Baya kuba yokuchitha kakhulu imali kwaye oluntu zokusebenza ukuba balinde ngokuchasene naziphi na terrorist infiltration, stealing kwaye konke oku uhlobo iimboniselo. Ukuba yayiyenye engundoqo izizathu kutheni abo withdrew i-enzima yenyukliya zesintu ukusuka Kunsan ngowe. Yintoni impendulo yakho ukuba abo kwi-USA Indlu Abameli abathe wacebisa ukuba redeployment ezinjalo missiles ayikwazi ukukhonza ukuba inkcazelo ngaphandle i-kujike aggressive China okanye re-ukukhupha Us kulo mmandla. Ukuba ithetha ntoni. Abo enzima yenyukliya amaziko aya ngokulula kuba kuko kuba Us ne-China.
Kutheni waye usenza aphuma kunye eli nqaku ngoku
Kutheni kufuneka sibe (i-South Korea) yandisa zethu vulnerability ngokusebenzisa deployment abo zesintu. Akuvumelekanga ukuba ngenene feasible ukusuka kwi-i-i-american-nkqubo incopho ka-imboniselo, kakhulu. Obama made it clear ukuba enzima yenyukliya zesintu ikhadi, okanye theater yenyukliya zesintu, zisuke obsolete kwaye ukuba lowo ufuna yokuzifumana njengoko inxalenye yakhe"yenyukliya zesintu free ihlabathi"phulo. Yintoni zabo into eluncedo, ukuba USA sele intercontinental ballistic missiles, yenyukliya submarines, kwaye ixesha elide umqolo bombers.
Practically ukuthetha, e-USA unako betha ekujoliswe kuko naphi na, naliphi na ixesha.
Kutheni ingaba oko deploy enzima yenyukliya zesintu ukuze kufuna i-ezongezelelweyo iindleko ukuba balinde akhusele. Nakuba kunjalo, ukuba ngaba kunokwenzeka, ngoko ke ayikwazi lungelelanisa Emntla isikorean ekubeni yenyukliya zesintu. Sithanda andinayo na kwendlela emhlabeni.
Kwaye monaco izakuba abo kujoliswe enzima yenyukliya kumaziko, apho ingaba ke yandisa zethu vulnerability.
Zeziphi ezinye iziphumo zemisebenzi yokufama a Afrika isikorean yenyukliya zesintu udweliso lwenkqubo kwi-eli lizwe ke ngamazwe izibophelelo. Umzantsi Korea ingaba ubuso phezulu kakhulu iindleko baba ngayo ukusa kweli icala, kungenxa yokuba kulinywa nzulu inxaxheba kwi-multilateral kwaye phakathi kwala mazwe mabini treaty ukuzinikela kwaye kumandla enyukliya kombane orhwebo networks. Uphuhliso yenyukliya zesintu lwenkqubo ingaba ekuvunyelwene ngawo yayo zomgaqo-phantsi Yenyukliya Non-Proliferation Treaty kwaye Ngamazwe Atomic Amandla i-Arhente. Izakuba ngokuqinisekileyo end South Korea ke reactor kumazwe angaphandle kwaye sifuna kanjalo kombane ka-uranium, enrichment iinkonzo, nezinye mathiriyali.
Izakuba kanjalo end i-isininzi-sebenzisa ubugcisa eziyimfuneko South Korea ke yenyukliya ipetroli amafutha emaphandleni ukususela Yenyukliya Kombane Iqela, ezifana-United States, e-Australia, Irussia France.
Comment ingxwaba ingaba kusenokwenzeka ukuba ukwala hayi kuphela i-seoul ke isicelo reprocess okanye ipyroname-nkqubo wachitha yenyukliya ipetroli amafutha, kodwa kanjalo yayo banqwenela ukuba enrich uranium, nkqu kuba uphando. Oku kuya adversely nefuthe zethu uthetha-thethwano kunye comment ingxwaba kwi-nokuhlaziya i-ROK-NATHI Atomic Amandla Intsebenziswano Sivumelwano. Abanye conservatives Emzantsi Korea kuba wacebisa ukuba Umzantsi Korea esinokuzisebenzisa ezinzima kwesigqibo ezinjalo inkqubo njengoko leverage kwi ngoku uthetha-thethwano kunye USA phezu nokuhlaziya i-ROK-USA Atomic Amandla Intsebenziswano Sivumelwano. Ndicinga ukuba kubalulekile a stupid sicwangciso-buchule. Baye bacinge ukuba unako ukusebenzisa oku njengo-a bargaining chip, kodwa abazange abaziqondi kwinto yonke sentiment kwi comment ingxwaba, D. mayela nonproliferation. Kuphela indlela Umongameli Park Geun-hye ayikwazi persuade comment ingxwaba ingaba oku:"Nkqu ukuba sihamba ngokusebenzisa reprocessing ka-wachitha ipetroli amafutha okanye uranium enrichment, akukho ndlela kuba nathi ukuya ngakumbi kwiintlanganiso yenyukliya zesintu. Wonke episode kwi-ngoo- yi-Park Chung-hee ufumana into elidlulileyo. Musa worry malunga nayo. Akukho nkqu enye sitar a malunga nenkqubo yolawulo olumanyanisiweyo imfuza ukuba siya kwenza into, ngolohlobo."Ngaphezu koko, conservatives indlela ingaba severely undercut Umongameli Park ke indawo. Bekuya kuba opposite ukusebenza kwi comment ingxwaba. Ukuba ufumana ntoni Urobert Einhorn wenziwe arguing. Compromising nonproliferation ngu tantamount ukuba lokuvula i-Pandora ke Bhokisi, kungakhathaliseki nokuba (South isikorean negotiators) ingaba uthetha ukuba Democrats okanye Republicans. Ukuba yenyukliya genie ngu vumelani ngaphandle bottle, ngoko ke izakuba critically undermine USA hegemony kule ndawo ehlabathini. Akukho mcimbi njani worrisome China ke kuvuka okanye posture ka-Moscow kwi - Russian Kude Mpuma. Uyakuthanda epheleleyo ukufikelela kwiwebhusayithi ukufumana i-oluzenzekelayo umrhumo zethu magazine nge Diplomat Zonke-Ukufikelela umrhumo.
